La escuela de los momiosAtlanta Dream v Golden State Valkyries
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Predicción 54.61%1.83momio equitativo
EV +11.41%
Ventaja +5.59%
Kelly +10.97%
Crecimiento +1.25%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.32%55.10%52.63%64.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.691.732.0470.42%59.30%57.80%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)
Predicción 45.39%2.20momio equitativo
EV +20.73%
Ventaja +7.79%
Kelly +12.49%
Crecimiento +2.59%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.32%44.90%47.37%53.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.752.202.012.6657.14%45.36%49.75%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +20.73%E +7.79%K +12.49%G +2.59% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| BetAnything | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -21.36%E -14.83%K -48.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -22.45%E -15.81%K -53.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +17.10%E +6.63%K +10.82%G +1.85% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:02 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| ReBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV +13.92%E +5.55%K +9.22%G +1.28% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +13.47%E +5.39%K +8.98%G +1.21% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 17:03 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +12.56%E +5.07%K +8.49%G +1.07% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +11.20%E +4.57%K +7.73%G +0.865% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.62%E -7.89%K -21.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.145%E -0.066%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.34%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -8.77%E -4.36%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.061%E -0.033%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV +6.49%E +3.33%K +6.83%G +0.444% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -13.31%E -6.97%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV +3.76%E +1.98%K +4.18%G +0.157% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV +3.22%E +1.70%K +3.61%G +0.116% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -16.03%E -8.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV +1.03%E +0.558%K +1.21%G +0.013% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -18.30%E -10.17%K -22.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV +11.41%E +5.59%K +10.97%G +1.25% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -20.12%E -11.43%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -20.57%E -11.75%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Novig | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 2.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 17:05 |