L’École des cotes

Atlanta Dream v Golden State Valkyries

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 17:10 UTC

Score final : Atlanta Dream 83–88 Golden State Valkyries

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prévision 54.61%1.83cote équitable
EV +11.41%
Avantage +5.59%
Kelly +10.97%
Croissance +1.25%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.32%55.10%52.63%64.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.691.732.0470.42%59.30%57.80%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Golden State Valkyries (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.39%2.20cote équitable
EV +20.73%
Avantage +7.79%
Kelly +12.49%
Croissance +2.59%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.32%44.90%47.37%53.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.752.202.012.6657.14%45.36%49.75%37.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +20.73%E +7.79%K +12.49%G +2.59%3.8%2026-07-04 16:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12%3.2%2026-07-04 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12%3.2%2026-07-04 17:04
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%3.4%2026-07-04 17:03
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%3.4%2026-07-04 17:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%3.4%2026-07-04 16:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 16:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 17:03
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 17:03
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -21.36%E -14.83%K -48.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%7.9%2026-07-04 17:04
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -22.45%E -15.81%K -53.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%8.9%2026-07-04 17:05
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +17.10%E +6.63%K +10.82%G +1.85%4.1%2026-07-04 17:02
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77%5.1%2026-07-04 17:03
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77%5.1%2026-07-04 16:59
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV +13.92%E +5.55%K +9.22%G +1.28%6.1%2026-07-04 17:03
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +13.47%E +5.39%K +8.98%G +1.21%6.7%2026-07-04 17:03
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +12.56%E +5.07%K +8.49%G +1.07%5.7%2026-07-04 17:04
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +11.20%E +4.57%K +7.73%G +0.865%6.2%2026-07-04 17:05
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.62%E -7.89%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.145%E -0.066%K -0.121%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.34%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 17:05
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -8.77%E -4.36%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 17:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.061%E -0.033%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 17:05
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV +6.49%E +3.33%K +6.83%G +0.444%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -13.31%E -6.97%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV +3.76%E +1.98%K +4.18%G +0.157%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV +3.22%E +1.70%K +3.61%G +0.116%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:05
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -16.03%E -8.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:05
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV +1.03%E +0.558%K +1.21%G +0.013%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -18.30%E -10.17%K -22.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 17:05
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV +11.41%E +5.59%K +10.97%G +1.25%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -20.12%E -11.43%K -26.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:05
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -20.57%E -11.75%K -27.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 17:05
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-04 17:05
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%5.1%2026-07-04 17:05
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%7.9%2026-07-04 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-04 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-04 17:05