A Escola das Odds

Atlanta Dream v Golden State Valkyries

Início: 2026-07-04 17:10 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 83–88 Golden State Valkyries

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Previsão 54.61%1.83odd justa
EV +11.41%
Vantagem +5.59%
Kelly +10.97%
Crescimento +1.25%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.32%55.10%52.63%64.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.691.732.0470.42%59.30%57.80%49.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Previsão 45.39%2.20odd justa
EV +20.73%
Vantagem +7.79%
Kelly +12.49%
Crescimento +2.59%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.32%44.90%47.37%53.68%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.752.202.012.6657.14%45.36%49.75%37.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +20.73%E +7.79%K +12.49%G +2.59%3.8%2026-07-04 16:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12%3.2%2026-07-04 17:04
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +18.46%E +7.07%K +11.47%G +2.12%3.2%2026-07-04 17:04
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%3.4%2026-07-04 17:03
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%3.4%2026-07-04 17:00
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -15.90%E -10.32%K -29.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%3.4%2026-07-04 16:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 16:59
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 17:03
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%5.1%2026-07-04 17:03
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -21.36%E -14.83%K -48.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%7.9%2026-07-04 17:04
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -22.45%E -15.81%K -53.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV +18.01%E +6.93%K +11.26%G +2.03%8.9%2026-07-04 17:05
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +17.10%E +6.63%K +10.82%G +1.85%4.1%2026-07-04 17:02
MyBookie.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77%5.1%2026-07-04 17:03
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV +16.65%E +6.48%K +10.60%G +1.77%5.1%2026-07-04 16:59
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -17.54%E -11.61%K -34.39%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV +13.92%E +5.55%K +9.22%G +1.28%6.1%2026-07-04 17:03
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -18.08%E -12.06%K -36.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +13.47%E +5.39%K +8.98%G +1.21%6.7%2026-07-04 17:03
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +12.56%E +5.07%K +8.49%G +1.07%5.7%2026-07-04 17:04
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -16.44%E -10.75%K -31.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +11.20%E +4.57%K +7.73%G +0.865%6.2%2026-07-04 17:05
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -12.62%E -7.89%K -21.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -0.145%E -0.066%K -0.121%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 17:05
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.98%E -2.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.34%E -5.63%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 17:05
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -8.77%E -4.36%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 17:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:05
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -10.58%E -5.37%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.061%E -0.033%K -0.073%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 17:05
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.70%E -0.944%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:05
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -2.79%E -1.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.49%E -5.89%K -12.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:05
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -3.88%E -2.21%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 17:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -5.52%E -3.19%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -12.40%E -6.43%K -13.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV +6.49%E +3.33%K +6.83%G +0.444%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -13.31%E -6.97%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV +3.76%E +1.98%K +4.18%G +0.157%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:05
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV +3.22%E +1.70%K +3.61%G +0.116%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 17:05
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.22%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.78%EV -14.67%E -7.80%K -16.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -16.03%E -8.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:05
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +4.31%E +2.26%K +4.73%G +0.204%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -16.94%E -9.26%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:05
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV +1.03%E +0.558%K +1.21%G +0.013%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -18.30%E -10.17%K -22.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 17:05
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV +11.41%E +5.59%K +10.97%G +1.25%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -20.12%E -11.43%K -26.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:05
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV +2.12%E +1.14%K +2.44%G +0.052%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.66%EV -20.57%E -11.75%K -27.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-04 17:05
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23%2.6%2026-07-04 17:05
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%2.9%2026-07-04 17:05
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%5.1%2026-07-04 17:05
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%7.9%2026-07-04 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-04 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%10.2%2026-07-04 17:05