Language:English
Villanova Wildcats v Xavier Musketeers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Villanova Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 86.36%1.16fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -11.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.09%86.26%86.31%88.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.74%89.69%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xavier Musketeers (Visit)
Prediction 13.64%7.33fair odd
EV +11.86%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.195%
assuming max odds 8.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.64%13.74%13.69%16.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.606.416.258.2017.86%15.61%16.00%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Villanova Wildcats (Local): 86.36%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 13.64%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.33. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.86%E +1.45%K +1.65%G +0.195% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 16:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.13%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.119% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.33%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV +3.40%E +0.449%K +0.517%G +0.018% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 16:12 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -5.19%E -0.747%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -7.92%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.35%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.65%EV -13.38%E -2.11%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:53 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -14.06%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.08% | 9.14I 10.94%NM 10.92% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.39% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.61% | 0.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-03-07 16:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.98% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 14.02% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |