L’École des cotes

Villanova Wildcats v Xavier Musketeers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Prévision 86.36%1.16cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -11.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.09%86.26%86.31%88.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.74%89.69%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Xavier Musketeers (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.64%7.33cote équitable
EV +11.86%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.65%
Croissance +0.195%

avec la cote maximale 8.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.64%13.74%13.69%16.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.606.416.258.2017.86%15.61%16.00%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.86%E +1.45%K +1.65%G +0.195%4.8%2026-03-07 16:30
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.13%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.119%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.33%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV +3.40%E +0.449%K +0.517%G +0.018%4.1%2026-03-07 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:14
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:25
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:12
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:14
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:14
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:34
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:29
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -5.19%E -0.747%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 16:54
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -7.92%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:55
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 16:54
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:19
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.35%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.65%EV -13.38%E -2.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:53
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -14.06%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:54
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:15
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:55
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:55
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 89.08%9.14I 10.94%NM 10.92%0.2%2026-03-07 16:44
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.39%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.61%0.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.98%6.99I 14.31%NM 14.02%2.0%2026-03-07 16:54