A Escola das Odds

Villanova Wildcats v Xavier Musketeers

Início: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Villanova Wildcats (Local)

Previsão 86.36%1.16odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -11.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.09%86.26%86.31%88.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.74%89.69%87.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Xavier Musketeers (Visitante)

Previsão 13.64%7.33odd justa
EV +11.86%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +1.65%
Crescimento +0.195%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.64%13.74%13.69%16.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.606.416.258.2017.86%15.61%16.00%12.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.86%E +1.45%K +1.65%G +0.195%4.8%2026-03-07 16:30
theScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.13%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.119%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Pinnacle1.10I 90.91%NM 87.33%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV +3.40%E +0.449%K +0.517%G +0.018%4.1%2026-03-07 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:14
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:25
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:12
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:14
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:14
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:34
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:29
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -5.19%E -0.747%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 16:54
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -7.92%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:55
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
BetUS1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 16:54
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:19
Marathon Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.35%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.65%EV -13.38%E -2.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:53
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -14.06%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:54
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:15
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
Neds1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:55
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
LeoVegas1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Bally Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:55
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 89.08%9.14I 10.94%NM 10.92%0.2%2026-03-07 16:44
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.39%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.61%0.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.98%6.99I 14.31%NM 14.02%2.0%2026-03-07 16:54