默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Villanova Wildcats v Xavier Musketeers

开赛时间: 2026-03-07 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Villanova Wildcats (主队)

预测 86.36%1.16公平赔率
EV -1.55%
优势 -1.36%
Kelly -11.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.14

博彩公司预测分布
83.09%86.26%86.31%88.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.111.121.1492.59%89.74%89.69%87.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

Xavier Musketeers (客队)

预测 13.64%7.33公平赔率
EV +11.86%
优势 +1.45%
Kelly +1.65%
增长率 +0.195%

假设最高赔率为 8.20

博彩公司预测分布
11.64%13.74%13.69%16.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.606.416.258.2017.86%15.61%16.00%12.20%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Villanova Wildcats (主队):86.36%;Xavier Musketeers (客队):13.64%。 对于“Xavier Musketeers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.33。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为8.20,对应+11.86%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +11.86%E +1.45%K +1.65%G +0.195%4.8%2026-03-07 16:30
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +9.13%E +1.14%K +1.30%G +0.119%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.33%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.58I 13.19%NM 12.67%EV +3.40%E +0.449%K +0.517%G +0.018%4.1%2026-03-07 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:25
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +2.31%E +0.308%K +0.356%G +0.008%4.2%2026-03-07 16:12
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:14
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 16:14
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:34
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -4.51%E -0.644%K -0.751%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:29
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV -5.19%E -0.747%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 16:54
Everygame🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -7.92%E -1.17%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -9.83%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:55
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.73%E -6.23%K -84.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -11.33%E -1.74%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.35%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.65%EV -13.38%E -2.11%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:53
Fliff🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.86%EV -14.06%E -2.23%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -5.87%E -5.38%K -65.22%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -14.74%E -2.36%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.28%E -2.93%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.01%E -4.55%K -50.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -18.15%E -3.03%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Coral🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -4.14%E -3.73%K -37.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -21.56%E -3.75%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -1.55%E -1.36%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -2.42%E -2.14%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -23.61%E -4.22%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 16:54
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.12I 89.29%NM 89.08%9.14I 10.94%NM 10.92%0.2%2026-03-07 16:44
ProphetX1.14I 87.72%NM 87.39%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.61%0.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-03-07 16:14
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.98%6.99I 14.31%NM 14.02%2.0%2026-03-07 16:54