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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Michigan Wolverines v Alabama Crimson Tide

开赛时间： 2026-03-27 23:52 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

42 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Michigan Wolverines (主队)

预测 79.98%1.25公平赔率
EV -2.43%
优势 -1.99%
Kelly -11.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布
77.36%79.94%79.83%81.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.191.191.2288.50%84.32%84.03%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alabama Crimson Tide (客队)

预测 20.02%4.99公平赔率
EV +3.11%
优势 +0.604%
Kelly +0.749%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 5.15

博彩公司预测分布
18.90%20.06%20.17%22.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.664.685.1524.39%21.46%21.39%19.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Michigan Wolverines (主队)：79.98%；Alabama Crimson Tide (客队)：20.02%。 对于“Alabama Crimson Tide (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.99。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.15，对应+3.11%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +3.11%E +0.604%K +0.749%G +0.023%2.8%2026-03-27 23:45
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +1.11%E +0.219%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.8%2026-03-27 23:44
theScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -3.23%E -2.67%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:34
Caesars🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:49
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.90%E -0.387%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.90%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:45
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:34
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -6.90%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:45
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:45
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:45
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:50
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -10.70%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.62%E -8.52%K -74.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:45
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.43%E -1.99%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.91%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -17.91%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.87%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.13%-0.1%2026-03-27 23:34
ProphetX◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Novig◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.02%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.98%0.8%2026-03-27 23:50
Polymarket◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-03-27 23:50