L’École des cotes

Michigan Wolverines v Alabama Crimson Tide

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-27 23:52 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Prévision 79.98%1.25cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -11.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.36%79.94%79.83%81.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.191.191.2288.50%84.32%84.03%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.02%4.99cote équitable
EV +3.11%
Avantage +0.604%
Kelly +0.749%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 5.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.90%20.06%20.17%22.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.664.685.1524.39%21.46%21.39%19.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +3.11%E +0.604%K +0.749%G +0.023%2.8%2026-03-27 23:45
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +1.11%E +0.219%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.8%2026-03-27 23:44
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -3.23%E -2.67%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:34
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:49
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.90%E -0.387%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:50
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.90%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:45
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:44
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:34
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -6.90%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:45
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:45
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:50
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -10.70%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.62%E -8.52%K -74.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:45
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.43%E -1.99%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.91%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -17.91%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 84.87%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.13%-0.1%2026-03-27 23:34
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 82.02%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.98%0.8%2026-03-27 23:50
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-03-27 23:50