La escuela de los momios

Michigan Wolverines v Alabama Crimson Tide

Inicio: 2026-03-27 23:52 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

42 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Predicción 79.98%1.25momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -11.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.36%79.94%79.83%81.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.191.191.2288.50%84.32%84.03%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visitante)

Predicción 20.02%4.99momio equitativo
EV +3.11%
Ventaja +0.604%
Kelly +0.749%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.90%20.06%20.17%22.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.664.685.1524.39%21.46%21.39%19.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +3.11%E +0.604%K +0.749%G +0.023%2.8%2026-03-27 23:45
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +1.11%E +0.219%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.8%2026-03-27 23:44
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -3.23%E -2.67%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:34
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:49
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.90%E -0.387%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:50
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.90%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:45
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:44
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:34
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -6.90%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:45
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:45
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:50
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -10.70%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.62%E -8.52%K -74.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:45
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.43%E -1.99%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.91%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -17.91%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 84.87%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.13%-0.1%2026-03-27 23:34
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 82.02%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.98%0.8%2026-03-27 23:50
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-03-27 23:50