A Escola das Odds

Michigan Wolverines v Alabama Crimson Tide

Início: 2026-03-27 23:52 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Michigan Wolverines (Local)

Previsão 79.98%1.25odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.99%
Kelly -11.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.36%79.94%79.83%81.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.131.191.191.2288.50%84.32%84.03%81.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alabama Crimson Tide (Visitante)

Previsão 20.02%4.99odd justa
EV +3.11%
Vantagem +0.604%
Kelly +0.749%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.90%20.06%20.17%22.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.104.664.685.1524.39%21.46%21.39%19.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.20I 83.33%NM 81.10%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.90%EV +3.11%E +0.604%K +0.749%G +0.023%2.8%2026-03-27 23:45
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV +1.11%E +0.219%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.8%2026-03-27 23:44
theScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -3.23%E -2.67%K -15.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-27 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-27 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:34
Caesars1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.107%E +0.021%K +0.027%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 23:49
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -1.90%E -0.387%K -0.486%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:50
DraftKings1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -3.90%E -0.812%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 23:45
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Fanatics1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 23:45
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -4.90%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:44
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 23:45
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:35
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -5.90%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 23:34
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -6.90%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-27 23:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:45
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 23:45
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 23:45
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.90%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:45
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-27 23:45
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -7.22%E -6.23%K -45.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.90%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-27 23:50
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -5.63%E -4.77%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.92%EV -10.70%E -2.40%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 23:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -6.42%E -5.49%K -37.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 23:45
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 79.57%EV -9.62%E -8.52%K -74.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 23:45
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -13.31%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 23:45
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.43%E -1.99%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -13.91%E -3.23%K -4.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Marathon Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -4.83%E -4.05%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -14.91%E -3.51%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-27 23:34
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -4.03%E -3.35%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -17.91%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 23:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.18I 84.75%NM 84.87%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.13%-0.1%2026-03-27 23:34
ProphetX1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Novig1.21I 82.64%NM 82.02%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.98%0.8%2026-03-27 23:50
Polymarket1.22I 81.97%NM 81.17%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%1.0%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.2%2026-03-27 23:45
Kalshi1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-27 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%1.5%2026-03-27 23:50
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-03-27 23:50