语言:简体中文
Louisville Cardinals v SMU Mustangs
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Louisville Cardinals (主队)
预测 71.18%1.40公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -2.34%
Kelly -8.86%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
69.55%71.19%71.12%72.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.341.331.3676.92%74.87%74.91%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
SMU Mustangs (客队)
预测 28.82%3.47公平赔率
EV +0.854%
优势 +0.244%
Kelly +0.341%
增长率 +0.003%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
27.23%28.81%28.88%30.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.063.283.253.5032.68%30.52%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Louisville Cardinals (主队)：71.18%；SMU Mustangs (客队)：28.82%。 对于“SMU Mustangs (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.47。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.50，对应+0.854%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.75%E -5.15%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:26 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.03%E -0.596%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -3.18%E -0.947%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 18:17 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.93%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.04%E -4.57%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -10.10%E -3.24%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.83%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.64% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 44.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 55.74% | 66.1% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |