La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Louisville Cardinals v SMU Mustangs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Louisville Cardinals (Local)
Predicción 71.18%1.40momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -2.34%
Kelly -8.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.55%71.19%71.12%72.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.341.331.3676.92%74.87%74.91%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
SMU Mustangs (Visitante)
Predicción 28.82%3.47momio equitativo
EV +0.854%
Ventaja +0.244%
Kelly +0.341%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.23%28.81%28.88%30.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.063.283.253.5032.68%30.52%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.75%E -5.15%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:26 |
| Everygame | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.03%E -0.596%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| ReBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -3.18%E -0.947%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Bovada | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 18:17 |
| BetMGM | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.93%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Fliff | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.04%E -4.57%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -10.10%E -3.24%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.83%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-03-11 18:29 |
| Kalshi | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-11 18:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |
| Novig | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.64% | 8.5% | 2026-03-11 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 44.26% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 55.74% | 66.1% | 2026-03-11 18:35 |