A Escola das Odds

Louisville Cardinals v SMU Mustangs

Início: 2026-03-11 18:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 71.18%1.40odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -8.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.55%71.19%71.12%72.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.331.3676.92%74.87%74.91%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SMU Mustangs (Visitante)

Previsão 28.82%3.47odd justa
EV +0.854%
Vantagem +0.244%
Kelly +0.341%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.23%28.81%28.88%30.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.063.283.253.5032.68%30.52%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003%3.8%2026-03-11 18:30
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.75%E -5.15%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003%4.9%2026-03-11 18:26
Everygame1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:30
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:30
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:30
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:29
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.03%E -0.596%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 18:35
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -3.18%E -0.947%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:29
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 18:30
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 18:29
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 18:29
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 18:17
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:35
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:35
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:30
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:29
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:29
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:35
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:29
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:29
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.93%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 18:29
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:34
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:30
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:30
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 18:30
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 18:30
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:30
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.04%E -4.57%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 18:40
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -10.10%E -3.24%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:35
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.83%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 18:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-11 18:29
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-11 18:35
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-11 18:30
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-11 18:35
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.64%8.5%2026-03-11 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 44.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 55.74%66.1%2026-03-11 18:35