L’École des cotes

Louisville Cardinals v SMU Mustangs

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-11 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Louisville Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 71.18%1.40cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.34%
Kelly -8.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.55%71.19%71.12%72.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.331.3676.92%74.87%74.91%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SMU Mustangs (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.82%3.47cote équitable
EV +0.854%
Avantage +0.244%
Kelly +0.341%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.23%28.81%28.88%30.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.063.283.253.5032.68%30.52%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003%3.8%2026-03-11 18:30
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.75%E -5.15%K -21.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.854%E +0.244%K +0.341%G +0.003%4.9%2026-03-11 18:26
Everygame1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-11 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:30
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:30
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:30
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.587%E -0.170%K -0.240%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-11 18:29
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.03%E -0.596%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-11 18:35
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.36%EV -3.18%E -0.947%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:29
Bovada1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 18:30
Pinnacle1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-11 18:29
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 18:29
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-11 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 18:17
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:35
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:35
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:30
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:40
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:30
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:29
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:29
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:35
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:29
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-11 18:29
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -6.93%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 18:29
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.19%E -2.34%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:34
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:30
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.90%E -2.89%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 18:30
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 18:30
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.79%E -2.43%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-11 18:30
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -5.32%E -4.00%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:30
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.04%E -4.57%K -18.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-11 18:40
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.96%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -10.10%E -3.24%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:40
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.46%E -5.74%K -24.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:35
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.55%EV -4.61%E -3.44%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.45%EV -11.83%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-11 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-03-11 18:29
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-03-11 18:35
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-11 18:30
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-03-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-11 18:35
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 70.36%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.64%8.5%2026-03-11 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 44.26%1.08I 92.59%NM 55.74%66.1%2026-03-11 18:35