Language:English
Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Wizards (Local)
Prediction 10.33%9.68fair odd
EV +18.85%
Edge +1.64%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.338%
assuming max odds 11.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.37%10.56%10.12%13.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.009.129.0011.5014.29%10.97%11.11%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 89.67%1.12fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -13.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.74%89.44%89.88%91.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.81%93.46%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Wizards (Local): 10.33%; Miami Heat (Visit): 89.67%. For Washington Wizards (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.68. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +18.85%E +1.64%K +1.80%G +0.338% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.94%EV +11.62%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.138% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.06%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.52%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 21:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +2.31%E +0.234%K +0.260%G +0.006% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.661%E +0.068%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 9.49I 10.54%NM 10.05%EV -1.92%E -0.203%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.95%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -2.85%E -0.303%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 19:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.63%EV -4.40%E -0.476%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.37%EV -1.37%E -1.24%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -16.29%E -2.01%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 20:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -25.07%E -3.46%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.59% | -0.0% | 2026-04-10 22:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Novig◎ | 10.99I 9.10%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.90I 9.17%NM 9.09% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 1.6% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |