Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards v Miami Heat

Início: 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Wizards (Local)

Previsão 10.33%9.68odd justa
EV +18.85%
Vantagem +1.64%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.338%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.37%10.56%10.12%13.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
7.009.129.0011.5014.29%10.97%11.11%8.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Previsão 89.67%1.12odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -1.24%
Kelly -13.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.74%89.44%89.88%91.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.81%93.46%90.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Wizards (Local): 10.33%; Miami Heat (Visitante): 89.67%. Para Washington Wizards (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 9.68. 22 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 11.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +18.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +18.85%E +1.64%K +1.80%G +0.338%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 22:55
FanDuel🎯10.80I 9.26%NM 8.94%EV +11.62%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.138%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.06%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 23:05
Caesars🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.52%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 18:55
Fliff🎯10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:00
Pinnacle🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 19:05
DraftKings🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 19:05
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:04
BetAnything🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 21:15
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:00
888sport🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:05
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:15
Dabble (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 23:05
GTbets🎯9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +2.31%E +0.234%K +0.260%G +0.006%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.661%E +0.068%K +0.076%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 18:54
Coolbet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 22:55
Fanatics🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 21:30
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 18:54
BetMGM🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:25
NetBet (FR)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯9.49I 10.54%NM 10.05%EV -1.92%E -0.203%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.95%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:58
Codere (IT)🎯9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -2.85%E -0.303%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 19:10
1xBet🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.63%EV -4.40%E -0.476%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.37%EV -1.37%E -1.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-10 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
TAB🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 22:30
Sky Bet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:05
Everygame🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 18:49
BoyleSports🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:25
Coral🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Bet Victor🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:04
Bovada🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 23:05
PlayUp🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:05
Bet Right🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:19
NordicBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Paddy Power🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -16.29%E -2.01%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:00
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:39
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:39
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
Bally Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 20:00
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 22:40
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:00
LeoVegas🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -25.07%E -3.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 23:04
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly13.50I 7.41%NM 7.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.59%-0.0%2026-04-10 22:59
Polymarket11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-04-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-04-10 22:55
Novig10.99I 9.10%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-04-10 23:05
ProphetX10.90I 9.17%NM 9.09%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.91%0.9%2026-04-10 23:05
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%1.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%1.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-04-10 23:05
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%3.5%2026-04-10 23:05