L’École des cotes

Washington Wizards v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 23:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Wizards (Local)

Prévision 10.33%9.68cote équitable
EV +18.85%
Avantage +1.64%
Kelly +1.80%
Croissance +0.338%

avec la cote maximale 11.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.37%10.56%10.12%13.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.129.0011.5014.29%10.97%11.11%8.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.67%1.12cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -13.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.74%89.44%89.88%91.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.81%93.46%90.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +18.85%E +1.64%K +1.80%G +0.338%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 23:05
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 22:55
FanDuel10.80I 9.26%NM 8.94%EV +11.62%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.138%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.06%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 23:05
Caesars10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.52%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-10 22:59
LowVig.ag10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 18:55
Fliff10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:00
Pinnacle10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-10 23:05
Unibet (FR)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 22:50
Betr (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 19:05
DraftKings10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 19:05
theScore Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Hard Rock Bet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:04
BetAnything10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 21:15
Neds10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:00
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:05
888sport (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:05
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 19:05
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:15
Dabble (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 23:05
GTbets9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +2.31%E +0.234%K +0.260%G +0.006%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-10 22:20
BetOnline.ag9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.661%E +0.068%K +0.076%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 18:54
Coolbet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 22:55
Fanatics9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 21:30
BetUS9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 18:54
BetMGM9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:25
NetBet (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-10 22:50
MyBookie.ag9.49I 10.54%NM 10.05%EV -1.92%E -0.203%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.95%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:58
Codere (IT)9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -2.85%E -0.303%K -0.340%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-10 19:10
1xBet9.25I 10.81%NM 10.63%EV -4.40%E -0.476%K -0.534%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.37%EV -1.37%E -1.24%K -13.68%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-10 22:15
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-10 21:45
TAB9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-10 22:30
Sky Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 23:05
Everygame9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-10 18:49
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:25
Coral9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:30
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 23:00
Bet Victor8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 23:04
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 22:59
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-10 23:05
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 23:05
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:19
NordicBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 23:05
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:50
Marathon Bet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -16.29%E -2.01%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-10 19:44
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 23:00
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:39
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:39
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:39
Unibet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
betPARX8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 20:00
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 22:40
Betway7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 23:00
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 22:40
Winamax (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -25.07%E -3.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 23:04
Betclic (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly13.50I 7.41%NM 7.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.59%-0.0%2026-04-10 22:59
Polymarket11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%0.7%2026-04-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-04-10 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-04-10 22:55
Novig10.99I 9.10%NM 9.02%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%0.8%2026-04-10 23:05
ProphetX10.90I 9.17%NM 9.09%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.91%0.9%2026-04-10 23:05
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%1.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%1.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Kalshi11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%1.6%2026-04-10 23:05
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%3.5%2026-04-10 23:05