La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Washington Wizards v Miami Heat
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Wizards (Local)
Predicción 10.33%9.68momio equitativo
EV +18.85%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +1.80%
Crecimiento +0.338%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.37%10.56%10.12%13.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.009.129.0011.5014.29%10.97%11.11%8.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Miami Heat (Visitante)
Predicción 89.67%1.12momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -13.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.74%89.44%89.88%91.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.071.071.1097.09%93.81%93.46%90.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +18.85%E +1.64%K +1.80%G +0.338% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.68%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| FanDuel | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.94%EV +11.62%E +1.08%K +1.19%G +0.138% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.06%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Caesars | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +8.52%E +0.811%K +0.896%G +0.076% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.58%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.42%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-10 18:55 |
| Fliff | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +4.38%E +0.434%K +0.482%G +0.021% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| theScore Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-10 21:15 |
| Neds | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 19:05 |
| William Hill | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.35%E +0.335%K +0.372%G +0.012% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| GTbets | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.75%EV +2.31%E +0.234%K +0.260%G +0.006% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.25%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-10 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV +0.661%E +0.068%K +0.076%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 18:54 |
| Coolbet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Fanatics | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 21:30 |
| BetUS | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 18:54 |
| BetMGM | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -1.82%E -0.191%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 9.49I 10.54%NM 10.05%EV -1.92%E -0.203%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.95%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -2.85%E -0.303%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 19:10 |
| 1xBet | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.63%EV -4.40%E -0.476%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.37%EV -1.37%E -1.24%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-10 22:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-10 21:45 |
| TAB | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Sky Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Everygame | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-10 18:49 |
| BoyleSports | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 22:25 |
| Coral | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 22:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.99%E -0.776%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.99%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.01%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| Bovada | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -9.57%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| PlayUp | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 18:19 |
| NordicBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Betsson | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Paddy Power | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.15%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 22:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.86%EV -16.29%E -2.01%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.14%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-10 19:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -2.26%E -2.08%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:39 |
| BetRivers | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:39 |
| Unibet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| betPARX | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Bally Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-10 20:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.32%E -2.17%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Betway | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| LeoVegas | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -22.49%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.82%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-10 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -25.07%E -3.46%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.59% | -0.0% | 2026-04-10 22:59 |
| Polymarket | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 0.7% | 2026-04-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Novig | 10.99I 9.10%NM 9.02% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98% | 0.8% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| ProphetX | 10.90I 9.17%NM 9.09% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 1.3% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 1.6% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33% | 3.5% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |