Language:English
Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Utah Jazz (Local)
Prediction 17.99%5.56fair odd
EV +6.14%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.077%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.19%17.98%18.06%19.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.325.305.9020.83%18.78%18.87%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 82.01%1.22fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -12.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.78%82.02%81.94%83.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.161.1988.50%86.20%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Jazz (Local): 17.99%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 82.01%. For Utah Jazz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.56. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.14%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.077% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.54%E +0.446%K +0.541%G +0.014% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.64%E +0.291%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.88%EV -2.50%E -0.461%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.12%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -3.76%E -0.702%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -4.48%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 02:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 02:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.41%E -2.02%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.95%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.85%E -2.42%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.65%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01% | 0.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.85% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.15% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |