语言:简体中文
Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Utah Jazz (主队)
预测 17.99%5.56公平赔率
EV +6.14%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +1.25%
增长率 +0.077%
假设最高赔率为 5.90
博彩公司预测分布
16.19%17.98%18.06%19.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.325.305.9020.83%18.78%18.87%16.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
Denver Nuggets (客队)
预测 82.01%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -2.02%
Kelly -12.67%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.19
博彩公司预测分布
80.78%82.02%81.94%83.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.161.161.1988.50%86.20%86.21%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Utah Jazz (主队)：17.99%；Denver Nuggets (客队)：82.01%。 对于“Utah Jazz (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.56。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.90，对应+6.14%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.14%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.077% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.54%E +0.446%K +0.541%G +0.014% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.64%E +0.291%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.88%EV -2.50%E -0.461%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.12%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -3.76%E -0.702%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -4.48%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 02:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 02:01 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.41%E -2.02%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.95%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.85%E -2.42%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.65%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01% | 0.0% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.85% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.15% | 0.2% | 2026-03-03 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43% | 0.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 02:09 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 2.9% | 2026-03-03 02:10 |