La escuela de los momios

Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-03-03 02:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Utah Jazz (Local)

Predicción 17.99%5.56momio equitativo
EV +6.14%
Ventaja +1.04%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.077%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.19%17.98%18.06%19.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.325.305.9020.83%18.78%18.87%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 82.01%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -12.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.78%82.02%81.94%83.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.161.161.1988.50%86.20%86.21%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.14%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.077%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.54%E +0.446%K +0.541%G +0.014%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 02:00
SportsBet5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.64%E +0.291%K +0.353%G +0.006%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 02:10
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 02:10
Caesars5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:10
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 02:10
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Dabble (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:10
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:10
Pinnacle5.42I 18.45%NM 17.88%EV -2.50%E -0.461%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.12%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 02:09
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Coolbet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:09
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:09
Everygame5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
BetAnything5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -3.76%E -0.702%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 02:10
BetOnline.ag5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -4.48%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Parions Sport (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 01:59
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 01:59
888sport5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 01:59
888sport (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 01:59
Mr Green (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 01:59
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 01:59
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
GTbets5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:09
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:10
LeoVegas5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 02:02
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 02:10
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 02:01
MyBookie.ag5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 01:59
Bovada5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:09
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.41%E -2.02%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:10
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:00
Betsson5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
NordicBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:02
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.95%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 02:05
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.85%E -2.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.65%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%0.0%2026-03-03 02:10
BetOpenly5.92I 16.89%NM 16.85%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.15%0.2%2026-03-03 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Polymarket6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-03-03 02:09
Novig6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-03-03 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-03-03 02:10
ProphetX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-03-03 02:10