مدرسة الاحتمالات

Utah Jazz v Denver Nuggets

البداية: 2026-03-03 02:11 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Utah Jazz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 17.99%5.56السعر العادل
EV +6.14%
الأفضلية +1.04%
Kelly +1.25%
النمو +0.077%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.19%17.98%18.06%19.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.325.305.9020.83%18.78%18.87%16.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Denver Nuggets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 82.01%1.22السعر العادل
EV -2.41%
الأفضلية -2.02%
Kelly -12.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.78%82.02%81.94%83.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.161.161.1988.50%86.20%86.21%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV +6.14%E +1.04%K +1.25%G +0.077%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.44%E +0.598%K +0.724%G +0.025%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV +2.54%E +0.446%K +0.541%G +0.014%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.46%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 02:00
SportsBet5.65I 17.70%NM 17.03%EV +1.64%E +0.291%K +0.353%G +0.006%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.97%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 02:10
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 17.16%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.84%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 02:10
Caesars5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +0.742%E +0.132%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 02:10
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 17.66%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.34%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 02:10
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
TABtouch5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Bally Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
betPARX5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Dabble (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:10
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:10
theScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.06%E -0.192%K -0.235%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.51%E -5.71%K -46.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 02:10
Pinnacle5.42I 18.45%NM 17.88%EV -2.50%E -0.461%K -0.565%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.12%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-03 02:09
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Coolbet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:09
BetUS5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:09
Everygame5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:09
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.86%E -0.529%K -0.649%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
BetAnything5.35I 18.69%NM 17.94%EV -3.76%E -0.702%K -0.863%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.06%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 02:10
BetOnline.ag5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -4.48%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Parions Sport (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -3.23%E -2.74%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 01:59
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 01:59
888sport5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 01:59
888sport (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 01:59
Mr Green (SE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.65%E -0.878%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 01:59
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 01:59
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
GTbets5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:09
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Neds5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:10
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 02:10
LeoVegas5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.55%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 02:02
Winamax (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -4.87%E -4.20%K -30.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 02:10
NetBet (FR)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -6.45%E -1.24%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 02:01
MyBookie.ag5.19I 19.27%NM 18.40%EV -6.63%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.60%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 01:59
Bovada5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -8.25%E -1.62%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 02:09
TAB5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.41%E -2.02%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 02:10
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:00
Betsson5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
NordicBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:02
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.05%E -3.46%K -23.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-03 02:10
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.05%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 02:10
Unibet (FR)4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -10.95%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 02:05
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.85%E -2.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -5.69%E -4.95%K -37.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.65%E -2.84%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -7.33%E -6.49%K -56.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 02:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi6.25I 16.00%NM 15.99%1.19I 84.03%NM 84.01%0.0%2026-03-03 02:10
BetOpenly5.92I 16.89%NM 16.85%1.20I 83.33%NM 83.15%0.2%2026-03-03 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.57%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.43%0.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Polymarket6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-03-03 02:09
Novig6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%0.7%2026-03-03 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-03-03 02:10
ProphetX6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%1.4%2026-03-03 02:10
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-03-03 02:10
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%2.9%2026-03-03 02:10