Language:English
Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Raptors (Local)
Prediction 55.87%1.79fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.17%55.77%56.02%61.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.721.721.7772.46%58.26%58.14%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Heat (Visit)
Prediction 44.13%2.27fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.652%
Kelly +1.15%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.02%44.23%43.98%45.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.132.3050.00%46.77%46.95%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Raptors (Local): 55.87%; Miami Heat (Visit): 44.13%. For Miami Heat (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.50%E +0.652%K +1.15%G +0.017% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 23:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 23:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 61.98%EV -22.90%E -16.59%K -60.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.02%EV -0.708%E -0.314%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.03%E -0.915%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:36 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 23:38 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 23:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 23:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.67%E -0.948%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 23:33 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 23:32 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 23:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 23:36 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40% | 0.4% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 23:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 23:29 |