مدرسة الاحتمالات

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

البداية: 2026-04-07 23:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Toronto Raptors (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.87%1.79السعر العادل
EV -1.11%
الأفضلية -0.627%
Kelly -1.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.17%55.77%56.02%61.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.381.721.721.7772.46%58.26%58.14%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Heat (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.13%2.27السعر العادل
EV +1.50%
الأفضلية +0.652%
Kelly +1.15%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.02%44.23%43.98%45.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.142.132.3050.00%46.77%46.95%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.50%E +0.652%K +1.15%G +0.017%2.3%2026-04-07 23:38
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 23:39
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:29
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 61.98%EV -22.90%E -16.59%K -60.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.02%EV -0.708%E -0.314%K -0.566%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-07 23:39
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.03%E -0.915%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:36
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 23:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 23:39
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:38
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:39
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:40
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 23:30
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.67%E -0.948%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 23:33
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:39
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:32
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 23:40
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 23:39
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 23:36
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40%0.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-07 23:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-07 23:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-07 23:40
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29