La escuela de los momios

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

Inicio: 2026-04-07 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Predicción 55.87%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.627%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.17%55.77%56.02%61.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.721.721.7772.46%58.26%58.14%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Heat (Visitante)

Predicción 44.13%2.27momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.652%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.02%44.23%43.98%45.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.132.3050.00%46.77%46.95%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.50%E +0.652%K +1.15%G +0.017%2.3%2026-04-07 23:38
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 23:39
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:29
Dabble (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 61.98%EV -22.90%E -16.59%K -60.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.02%EV -0.708%E -0.314%K -0.566%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-07 23:39
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.03%E -0.915%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:39
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 23:40
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:36
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:39
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 23:40
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 23:39
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:39
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:38
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:39
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:40
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:39
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 23:30
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.67%E -0.948%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 23:33
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:39
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:32
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 23:40
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 23:39
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 23:36
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40%0.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-07 23:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-07 23:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-07 23:40
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29