Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Raptors v Miami Heat

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 23:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Raptors (Local)

Prévision 55.87%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.627%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.17%55.77%56.02%61.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.721.721.7772.46%58.26%58.14%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Heat (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.13%2.27cote équitable
EV +1.50%
Avantage +0.652%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.02%44.23%43.98%45.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.142.132.3050.00%46.77%46.95%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Raptors (Local) : 55.87% ; Miami Heat (Visiteur) : 44.13%. Pour Miami Heat (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.27. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.30, soit une espérance positive de +1.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.50%E +0.652%K +1.15%G +0.017%2.3%2026-04-07 23:38
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-07 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -0.266%E -0.118%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 23:29
Dabble (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 61.98%EV -22.90%E -16.59%K -60.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.02%EV -0.708%E -0.314%K -0.566%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-07 23:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -2.03%E -0.915%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.47%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -3.90%E -2.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-07 23:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
GTbets🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:36
Everygame🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:39
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.91%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.80%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 23:39
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 23:39
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.02%E -2.95%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.58%E -3.30%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 23:40
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:38
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.50%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.50%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.11%E -0.627%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-07 23:40
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.34%E -1.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-07 23:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.81%E -4.74%K -12.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.33%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -1.67%E -0.948%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 23:33
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:39
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.23%E -1.27%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 23:32
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -2.79%E -1.60%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.26%E -4.37%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-07 23:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -4.46%E -2.61%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 23:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -6.14%E -3.65%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 23:36
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.70%E -4.01%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-07 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.40%0.4%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-07 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-04-07 23:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-07 23:40
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-07 23:40
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-04-07 23:40
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-07 23:40
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-04-07 23:40
BetOpenly1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%4.1%2026-04-07 23:29