Language:English
San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
San Antonio Spurs (Local)
Prediction 77.85%1.28fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.886%
Kelly -4.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.89%77.54%78.03%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.221.221.2785.47%81.67%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 22.15%4.52fair odd
EV +9.84%
Edge +1.98%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.245%
assuming max odds 4.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%22.46%21.97%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.204.254.304.9631.25%23.54%23.26%20.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Antonio Spurs (Local): 77.85%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 22.15%. For Denver Nuggets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.52. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -8.91%E -7.62%K -52.42%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.09%EV +9.84%E +1.98%K +2.49%G +0.245% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 00:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +0.985%E +0.216%K +0.277%G +0.003% | 3.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.67%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-13 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-13 00:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.95%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 00:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-13 00:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.89%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -29.13%E -9.10%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06% | -0.3% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 80.00% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-13 00:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.17% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.83% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.1% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.96% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 21.04% | 1.3% | 2026-04-13 00:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.7% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23% | 2.4% | 2026-04-13 00:40 |