A Escola das Odds

San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets

Início: 2026-04-13 00:41 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 118–128 Denver Nuggets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Previsão 77.85%1.28odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.886%
Kelly -4.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.89%77.54%78.03%80.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.2785.47%81.67%81.97%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Previsão 22.15%4.52odd justa
EV +9.84%
Vantagem +1.98%
Kelly +2.49%
Crescimento +0.245%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.09%22.46%21.97%27.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.204.254.304.9631.25%23.54%23.26%20.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
MyBookie.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -8.91%E -7.62%K -52.42%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.09%EV +9.84%E +1.98%K +2.49%G +0.245%5.6%2026-04-13 00:33
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +0.985%E +0.216%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:40
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.67%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:29
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 00:35
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 00:40
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 00:40
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.95%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-13 00:28
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.89%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -29.13%E -9.10%K -13.24%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06%-0.3%2026-04-13 00:40
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 80.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%0.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-13 00:40
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 79.17%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.83%1.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.96%4.69I 21.32%NM 21.04%1.3%2026-04-13 00:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-04-13 00:40