La escuela de los momios

San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-04-13 00:41 UTC

Final: San Antonio Spurs 118–128 Denver Nuggets

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Predicción 77.85%1.28momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.886%
Kelly -4.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.89%77.54%78.03%80.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.221.2785.47%81.67%81.97%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 22.15%4.52momio equitativo
EV +9.84%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +2.49%
Crecimiento +0.245%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.09%22.46%21.97%27.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.204.254.304.9631.25%23.54%23.26%20.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
MyBookie.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -8.91%E -7.62%K -52.42%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.09%EV +9.84%E +1.98%K +2.49%G +0.245%5.6%2026-04-13 00:33
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +0.985%E +0.216%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:40
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.67%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:29
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 00:35
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 00:40
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 00:40
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.95%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-13 00:28
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.89%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -29.13%E -9.10%K -13.24%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06%-0.3%2026-04-13 00:40
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 80.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%0.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-13 00:40
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 79.17%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.83%1.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.96%4.69I 21.32%NM 21.04%1.3%2026-04-13 00:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-04-13 00:40