L’École des cotes

San Antonio Spurs v Denver Nuggets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 00:41 UTC

Score final : San Antonio Spurs 118–128 Denver Nuggets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

San Antonio Spurs (Local)

Prévision 77.85%1.28cote équitable
EV -1.13%
Avantage -0.886%
Kelly -4.17%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.89%77.54%78.03%80.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.2785.47%81.67%81.97%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Denver Nuggets (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.15%4.52cote équitable
EV +9.84%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.49%
Croissance +0.245%

avec la cote maximale 4.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.09%22.46%21.97%27.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.204.254.304.9631.25%23.54%23.26%20.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
MyBookie.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 80.91%EV -8.91%E -7.62%K -52.42%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.09%EV +9.84%E +1.98%K +2.49%G +0.245%5.6%2026-04-13 00:33
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 78.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.24%EV +0.985%E +0.216%K +0.277%G +0.003%3.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV +0.763%E +0.168%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Dabble (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:39
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -0.344%E -0.076%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 00:29
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -1.45%E -0.326%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 00:39
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
DraftKings1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:40
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:40
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.56%E -0.581%K -0.752%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -3.67%E -0.843%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.11%E -0.949%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-13 00:39
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-13 00:39
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.77%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-13 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
ATG (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:40
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-13 00:39
Bet Right1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.88%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:29
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.99%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 00:40
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-13 00:35
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:40
Bally Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.46%E -2.79%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-13 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-13 00:40
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.57%E -5.48%K -32.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -9.20%E -2.24%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-13 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -1.13%E -0.886%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.02%E -4.11%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 00:40
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -5.80%E -4.79%K -27.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -11.42%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-13 00:40
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:39
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.52%E -3.17%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 00:40
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -13.63%E -3.50%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.68%E -2.15%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.95%E -4.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 00:39
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -4.24%E -3.45%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -20.28%E -5.63%K -7.80%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-13 00:28
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.89%EV -7.35%E -6.18%K -38.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.11%EV -29.13%E -9.10%K -13.24%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-13 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.94%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.06%-0.3%2026-04-13 00:40
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 80.00%5.00I 20.00%NM 20.00%0.0%2026-04-13 00:29
Polymarket1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-04-13 00:40
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 79.17%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.83%1.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-13 00:40
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 78.96%4.69I 21.32%NM 21.04%1.3%2026-04-13 00:38
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%1.7%2026-04-13 00:40
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%2.4%2026-04-13 00:40