Language:English
Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Suns (Local)
Prediction 57.06%1.75fair odd
EV -0.719%
Edge -0.413%
Kelly -0.972%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.77%57.11%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.681.7462.50%59.72%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Warriors (Visit)
Prediction 42.94%2.33fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +1.28%
Kelly +2.19%
Growth +0.067%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%43.23%42.89%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.232.4048.78%45.11%44.84%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Suns (Local): 57.06%; Golden State Warriors (Visit): 42.94%. For Golden State Warriors (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.33. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.06%E +1.28%K +2.19%G +0.067% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.23%E -0.536%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.10%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 02:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 02:12 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 02:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.719%E -0.413%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.29%E -0.745%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |