默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors

开赛时间: 2026-04-18 02:20 UTC

最终结果: Phoenix Suns 111–96 Golden State Warriors

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Suns (主队)

预测 57.06%1.75公平赔率
EV -0.719%
优势 -0.413%
Kelly -0.972%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布
54.67%56.77%57.11%60.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.671.681.7462.50%59.72%59.52%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Golden State Warriors (客队)

预测 42.94%2.33公平赔率
EV +3.06%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +2.19%
增长率 +0.067%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
40.00%43.23%42.89%45.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.222.232.4048.78%45.11%44.84%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Phoenix Suns (主队):57.06%;Golden State Warriors (客队):42.94%。 对于“Golden State Warriors (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.33。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.40,对应+3.06%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.06%E +1.28%K +2.19%G +0.067%4.2%2026-04-18 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.23%E -0.536%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 02:10
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 02:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 02:15
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 02:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:15
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:13
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:14
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
TAB🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 02:14
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 02:14
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 02:15
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 02:15
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.10%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 02:02
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 02:12
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 02:15
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 02:15
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 02:01
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.719%E -0.413%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 02:15
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 02:15
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.29%E -0.745%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 02:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-04-18 02:15
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-18 02:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-18 02:14
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-18 02:15