مدرسة الاحتمالات

Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors

البداية: 2026-04-18 02:20 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Phoenix Suns 111–96 Golden State Warriors

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Phoenix Suns (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.06%1.75السعر العادل
EV -0.719%
الأفضلية -0.413%
Kelly -0.972%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.67%56.77%57.11%60.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.671.681.7462.50%59.72%59.52%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Golden State Warriors (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.94%2.33السعر العادل
EV +3.06%
الأفضلية +1.28%
Kelly +2.19%
النمو +0.067%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.00%43.23%42.89%45.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.222.232.4048.78%45.11%44.84%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.06%E +1.28%K +2.19%G +0.067%4.2%2026-04-18 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.23%E -0.536%K -0.949%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-18 02:10
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 02:09
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 02:15
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-18 02:15
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 02:15
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:15
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:13
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:14
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
TAB1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 02:15
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 02:14
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 02:14
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 02:15
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 02:15
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.10%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 02:02
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 02:12
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 02:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:15
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 02:15
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 02:01
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.719%E -0.413%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 02:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 02:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.29%E -0.745%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 02:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 02:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 02:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-18 02:15
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68%2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32%0.8%2026-04-18 02:15
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-04-18 02:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.3%2026-04-18 02:14
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-04-18 02:15
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%2.2%2026-04-18 02:15