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Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Suns (Local)
Predicción 57.06%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.719%
Ventaja -0.413%
Kelly -0.972%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%56.77%57.11%60.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.681.7462.50%59.72%59.52%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Golden State Warriors (Visitante)
Predicción 42.94%2.33momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +2.19%
Crecimiento +0.067%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.00%43.23%42.89%45.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.232.4048.78%45.11%44.84%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Phoenix Suns (Local): 57.06%; Golden State Warriors (Visitante): 42.94%. Para Golden State Warriors (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.33. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.06%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV +3.06%E +1.28%K +2.19%G +0.067% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.23%E -0.536%K -0.949%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.86%E -1.08%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 02:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.09%E -0.918%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.32%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.68%EV -2.52%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.95%E -1.31%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:13 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.24%E -1.90%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -4.14%E -2.47%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.10%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-18 02:02 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 02:12 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.28%E -3.18%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.57%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 02:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.99%EV -7.00%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.01%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -0.719%E -0.413%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -8.14%E -5.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.71%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.29%E -0.745%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.43%E -1.42%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.00%E -1.77%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 02:14 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 2.2% | 2026-04-18 02:15 |