Language:English
Orlando Magic v Oklahoma City Thunder
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Orlando Magic (Local)
Prediction 21.72%4.60fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.075%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%21.78%21.69%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.384.404.8526.67%22.81%22.73%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit)
Prediction 78.28%1.28fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -8.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%78.22%78.31%80.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.00%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Orlando Magic (Local): 21.72%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visit): 78.28%. For Orlando Magic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +5.36%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.19%E +0.671%K +0.849%G +0.027% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.10%E +0.447%K +0.567%G +0.012% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -1.16%E -0.255%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-17 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -9.85%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 23:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.63%E -6.47%K -42.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -18.54%E -4.94%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.62% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.38% | -0.0% | 2026-03-17 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.63% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.37% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 1.9% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 2.3% | 2026-03-17 23:10 |