L’École des cotes

Orlando Magic v Oklahoma City Thunder

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 23:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Prévision 21.72%4.60cote équitable
EV +5.36%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.075%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.70%21.78%21.69%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.384.404.8526.67%22.81%22.73%20.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.28%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -8.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.00%78.22%78.31%80.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.00%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +5.36%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.19%E +0.671%K +0.849%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 23:09
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.10%E +0.447%K +0.567%G +0.012%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:59
Caesars4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
BetUS4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -1.16%E -0.255%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:09
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:08
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:09
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 22:59
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 23:09
GTbets4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:09
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:59
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:09
MyBookie.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:00
Dabble (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:10
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Everygame4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:09
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:09
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:00
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:10
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:00
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -9.85%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:03
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:10
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 22:59
Paddy Power4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.63%E -6.47%K -42.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 23:09
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -18.54%E -4.94%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly4.85I 20.62%NM 20.62%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.38%-0.0%2026-03-17 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-17 23:10
ProphetX4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%0.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Novig4.81I 20.79%NM 20.63%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.37%0.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-17 23:10
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%2.3%2026-03-17 23:10