Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic v Oklahoma City Thunder

Início: 2026-03-17 23:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Orlando Magic (Local)

Previsão 21.72%4.60odd justa
EV +5.36%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.075%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.70%21.78%21.69%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.384.404.8526.67%22.81%22.73%20.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Previsão 78.28%1.28odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -8.62%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.00%78.22%78.31%80.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.00%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Orlando Magic (Local): 21.72%; Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante): 78.28%. Para Orlando Magic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.60. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +5.36%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.19%E +0.671%K +0.849%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 23:09
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.10%E +0.447%K +0.567%G +0.012%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:59
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
BetUS🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -1.16%E -0.255%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:08
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:09
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 22:59
Pinnacle🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 23:09
GTbets🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:59
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:09
MyBookie.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:10
SportsBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Everygame🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:09
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:00
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:00
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -9.85%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:03
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:10
BoyleSports🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 22:59
Paddy Power🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.63%E -6.47%K -42.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 23:09
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -18.54%E -4.94%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly4.85I 20.62%NM 20.62%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.38%-0.0%2026-03-17 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-17 23:10
ProphetX4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%0.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Novig4.81I 20.79%NM 20.63%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.37%0.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-17 23:10
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%2.3%2026-03-17 23:10