La escuela de los momios

Orlando Magic v Oklahoma City Thunder

Inicio: 2026-03-17 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Orlando Magic (Local)

Predicción 21.72%4.60momio equitativo
EV +5.36%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.075%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.70%21.78%21.69%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.384.404.8526.67%22.81%22.73%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Oklahoma City Thunder (Visitante)

Predicción 78.28%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -8.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%78.22%78.31%80.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2584.75%82.00%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +5.36%E +1.10%K +1.39%G +0.075%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Bet Victor4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.19%E +0.671%K +0.849%G +0.027%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-17 23:09
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +2.10%E +0.447%K +0.567%G +0.012%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (NL)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 22:59
Caesars4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -0.073%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
BetUS4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -1.16%E -0.255%K -0.327%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:09
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:08
DraftKings4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
BetMGM4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:09
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 23:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.25%E -0.499%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 22:59
Pinnacle4.45I 22.47%NM 21.79%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.21%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-17 23:09
GTbets4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.33%E -0.749%K -0.966%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:09
LowVig.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:59
ReBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Neds4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
BetAnything4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:09
MyBookie.ag4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:00
Dabble (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
theScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 23:10
Winamax (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.42%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-17 23:10
SportsBet4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Everygame4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -3.72%E -3.02%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 23:09
BetOnline.ag4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -5.72%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.94%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.07%E -5.06%K -30.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:09
FanDuel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-17 23:00
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:10
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -6.59%E -1.53%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -6.85%E -5.76%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 23:00
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.76%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Unibet (FR)4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -9.85%E -2.37%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -5.29%E -4.37%K -25.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:03
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.94%E -2.37%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 23:10
BoyleSports4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 22:59
Paddy Power4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.50%E -3.69%K -20.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.93%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -7.63%E -6.47%K -42.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 23:09
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -14.19%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 23:10
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -18.54%E -4.94%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.15%E -1.72%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly4.85I 20.62%NM 20.62%1.26I 79.37%NM 79.38%-0.0%2026-03-17 22:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-03-17 23:10
ProphetX4.85I 20.62%NM 20.49%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.51%0.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-17 23:10
Novig4.81I 20.79%NM 20.63%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.37%0.8%2026-03-17 23:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-03-17 23:10
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%1.5%2026-03-17 23:10
Smarkets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-03-17 23:10
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%2.3%2026-03-17 23:10