Language:English
Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 91.84%1.09fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -24.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.06%91.48%91.87%93.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.01%96.15%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Wizards (Visit)
Prediction 8.16%12.26fair odd
EV +22.33%
Edge +1.49%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.356%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.43%8.52%8.13%12.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.0011.5011.5015.0014.29%8.69%8.70%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 91.84%; Washington Wizards (Visit): 8.16%. For Washington Wizards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.26. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +22.33%E +1.49%K +1.59%G +0.356% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.14%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.86%EV +16.21%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.198% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +11.73%E +0.856%K +0.923%G +0.108% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV +6.26%E +0.481%K +0.521%G +0.033% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.49%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.51%EV +4.39%E +0.343%K +0.372%G +0.016% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +3.98%E +0.312%K +0.339%G +0.013% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 18:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.40%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.65I 7.91%NM 7.60%EV +3.16%E +0.250%K +0.272%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +2.43%E +0.194%K +0.210%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 16:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV -0.098%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV -4.18%E -0.355%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.67%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.45I 8.73%NM 8.33%EV -6.62%E -0.578%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 19:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 19:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -42.91%E -6.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.95% | 16.62I 6.02%NM 6.05% | -0.5% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.52I 5.40%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 06:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |