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Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Heat (Local)
Predicción 91.84%1.09momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -24.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
87.06%91.48%91.87%93.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.01%96.15%93.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Wizards (Visitante)
Predicción 8.16%12.26momio equitativo
EV +22.33%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.356%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.43%8.52%8.13%12.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.0011.5011.5015.0014.29%8.69%8.70%6.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Heat (Local): 91.84%; Washington Wizards (Visitante): 8.16%. Para Washington Wizards (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 12.26. 22 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 15.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +22.33%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +22.33%E +1.49%K +1.59%G +0.356% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.14%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.86%EV +16.21%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.198% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +11.73%E +0.856%K +0.923%G +0.108% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV +6.26%E +0.481%K +0.521%G +0.033% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 18:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.49%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.80I 7.81%NM 7.51%EV +4.39%E +0.343%K +0.372%G +0.016% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +3.98%E +0.312%K +0.339%G +0.013% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 18:13 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.40%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.65I 7.91%NM 7.60%EV +3.16%E +0.250%K +0.272%G +0.009% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +2.43%E +0.194%K +0.210%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 16:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV -0.098%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV -4.18%E -0.355%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 12:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.67%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.45I 8.73%NM 8.33%EV -6.62%E -0.578%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 18:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-04 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 19:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 19:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 19:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -42.91%E -6.13%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.95% | 16.62I 6.02%NM 6.05% | -0.5% | 2026-04-04 18:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.52I 5.40%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 19:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-04-04 19:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 06:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 19:10 |