L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Washington Wizards

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 19:12 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

66 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 91.84%1.09cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -1.61%
Kelly -24.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
87.06%91.48%91.87%93.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.01%96.15%93.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Washington Wizards (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.16%12.26cote équitable
EV +22.33%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +1.59%
Croissance +0.356%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.43%8.52%8.13%12.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.0011.5011.5015.0014.29%8.69%8.70%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (66 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +22.33%E +1.49%K +1.59%G +0.356%3.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Pinnacle1.05I 95.24%NM 93.14%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.86%EV +16.21%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.198%2.3%2026-04-04 19:09
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155%4.2%2026-04-04 19:05
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155%5.2%2026-04-04 19:05
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +11.73%E +0.856%K +0.923%G +0.108%2.5%2026-04-04 17:35
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV +6.26%E +0.481%K +0.521%G +0.033%3.8%2026-04-04 18:14
Fanatics1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%2.9%2026-04-04 19:04
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 19:09
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 18:59
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%4.8%2026-04-04 14:39
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
Dabble (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%4.8%2026-04-04 18:54
GTbets1.04I 96.15%NM 92.49%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.51%EV +4.39%E +0.343%K +0.372%G +0.016%4.0%2026-04-04 19:09
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +3.98%E +0.312%K +0.339%G +0.013%4.0%2026-04-04 18:13
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 92.40%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.60%EV +3.16%E +0.250%K +0.272%G +0.009%4.1%2026-04-04 19:09
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +2.43%E +0.194%K +0.210%G +0.005%4.1%2026-04-04 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-04 18:50
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-04 16:18
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-04 19:04
ReBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV -0.098%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 14:29
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV -4.18%E -0.355%K -0.388%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Coolbet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:04
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:05
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:05
BetAnything1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 12:04
MyBookie.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.67%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.45I 8.73%NM 8.33%EV -6.62%E -0.578%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 18:49
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
888sport1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
888sport (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Winamax (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:59
TABtouch1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Unibet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
betPARX1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Bally Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Bovada1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:06
LeoVegas (SE)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:05
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:04
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:04
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 14:40
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:03
PMU (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:04
PlayUp1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:04
LeoVegas1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 19:04
Betclic (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 19:03
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Betsson1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 19:04
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -42.91%E -6.13%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 93.95%16.62I 6.02%NM 6.05%-0.5%2026-04-04 18:59
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.52I 5.40%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-04-04 19:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:10
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:10
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-04 06:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-04-04 19:10
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%3.3%2026-04-04 19:10