默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Heat v Washington Wizards

开赛时间: 2026-04-04 19:12 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

66 家博彩公司 (23 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Heat (主队)

预测 91.84%1.09公平赔率
EV -1.73%
优势 -1.61%
Kelly -24.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.07

博彩公司预测分布
87.06%91.48%91.87%93.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.041.041.0799.01%96.01%96.15%93.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Wizards (客队)

预测 8.16%12.26公平赔率
EV +22.33%
优势 +1.49%
Kelly +1.59%
增长率 +0.356%

假设最高赔率为 15.00

博彩公司预测分布
6.43%8.52%8.13%12.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.0011.5011.5015.0014.29%8.69%8.70%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Miami Heat (主队):91.84%;Washington Wizards (客队):8.16%。 对于“Washington Wizards (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.26。 当时有22家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为15.00,对应+22.33%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (66 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +22.33%E +1.49%K +1.59%G +0.356%3.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 93.14%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.86%EV +16.21%E +1.14%K +1.22%G +0.198%2.3%2026-04-04 19:09
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155%4.2%2026-04-04 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.17%E +1.01%K +1.09%G +0.155%5.2%2026-04-04 19:05
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.88%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%13.70I 7.30%NM 7.12%EV +11.73%E +0.856%K +0.923%G +0.108%2.5%2026-04-04 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV +6.26%E +0.481%K +0.521%G +0.033%3.8%2026-04-04 18:14
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%2.9%2026-04-04 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 19:09
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%3.8%2026-04-04 18:59
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%4.8%2026-04-04 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%4.8%2026-04-04 18:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +6.02%E +0.463%K +0.502%G +0.030%4.8%2026-04-04 18:54
GTbets🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.49%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.51%EV +4.39%E +0.343%K +0.372%G +0.016%4.0%2026-04-04 19:09
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV +3.98%E +0.312%K +0.339%G +0.013%4.0%2026-04-04 18:13
Fliff🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.40%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.65I 7.91%NM 7.60%EV +3.16%E +0.250%K +0.272%G +0.009%4.1%2026-04-04 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV +2.43%E +0.194%K +0.210%G +0.005%4.1%2026-04-04 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-04 18:50
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%4.2%2026-04-04 16:18
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-04 19:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +1.94%E +0.155%K +0.169%G +0.003%5.1%2026-04-04 19:04
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.17%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.83%EV -0.098%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 14:29
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.32%E -6.19%K -315.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -2.14%E -0.178%K -0.194%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV -4.18%E -0.355%K -0.388%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 19:05
BetAnything🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -6.21%E -0.540%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 12:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.67%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.45I 8.73%NM 8.33%EV -6.62%E -0.578%K -0.634%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 18:39
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 18:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -10.29%E -0.936%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 18:59
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:04
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 19:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -14.37%E -1.37%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 19:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 19:00
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -2.64%E -2.49%K -44.08%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 19:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.40%E -5.24%K -180.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.45%E -1.84%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 19:04
PlayUp🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 19:04
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.39%EV -7.24%E -7.17%K -723.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -22.52%E -2.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 19:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 19:03
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.56%E -3.39%K -71.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.60%E -2.96%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 18:59
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -1.73%E -1.61%K -24.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -30.68%E -3.61%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -4.48%E -4.31%K -112.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -42.91%E -6.13%K -7.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.07I 93.46%NM 93.95%16.62I 6.02%NM 6.05%-0.5%2026-04-04 18:59
Novig1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.52I 5.40%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-04-04 19:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:10
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:10
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-04-04 19:04
Kalshi1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-04 18:25
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-04-04 06:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-04-04 19:10
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 93.95%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.05%3.3%2026-04-04 19:10