语言:简体中文
Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Miami Heat (主队)
预测 61.44%1.63公平赔率
EV -1.70%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -2.84%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
59.21%61.46%61.48%63.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.42%64.10%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Orlando Magic (客队)
预测 38.56%2.59公平赔率
EV +1.04%
优势 +0.396%
Kelly +0.640%
增长率 +0.007%
假设最高赔率为 2.62
博彩公司预测分布
36.56%38.54%38.52%40.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.482.482.6244.44%40.33%40.32%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Miami Heat (主队)：61.44%；Orlando Magic (客队)：38.56%。 对于“Orlando Magic (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.59。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.62，对应+1.04%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.651%E +0.249%K +0.404%G +0.003% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.506%E -0.196%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.62%E -4.35%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.82%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.22%E -3.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.99%E -3.81%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 00:02 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (10)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38% | -0.2% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:03 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |