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Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Heat (Local)
Predicción 61.44%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.21%61.46%61.48%63.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.42%64.10%62.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Orlando Magic (Visitante)
Predicción 38.56%2.59momio equitativo
EV +1.04%
Ventaja +0.396%
Kelly +0.640%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%38.54%38.52%40.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.482.6244.44%40.33%40.32%38.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Miami Heat (Local): 61.44%; Orlando Magic (Visitante): 38.56%. Para Orlando Magic (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.59. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.62, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.04%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007% | 3.1% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.651%E +0.249%K +0.404%G +0.003% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.506%E -0.196%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:47 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.62%E -4.35%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 23:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.82%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 23:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.22%E -3.45%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.99%E -3.81%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 23:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-15 00:02 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38% | -0.2% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24% | 0.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 0.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:03 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |