مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Heat v Orlando Magic

البداية: 2026-03-15 00:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 61.44%1.63السعر العادل
EV -1.70%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -2.84%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.21%61.46%61.48%63.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.42%64.10%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Orlando Magic (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.56%2.59السعر العادل
EV +1.04%
الأفضلية +0.396%
Kelly +0.640%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.56%38.54%38.52%40.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.482.482.6244.44%40.33%40.32%38.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-15 00:00
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007%4.4%2026-03-14 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.651%E +0.249%K +0.404%G +0.003%3.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 18:49
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.506%E -0.196%K -0.320%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-15 00:00
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:47
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 00:05
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:50
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:50
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:50
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.62%E -4.35%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-14 23:30
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:05
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 23:59
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.82%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:50
TAB1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 00:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 23:50
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:50
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 00:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:50
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:40
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 23:59
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:45
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.22%E -3.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.99%E -3.81%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 23:54
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:59
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 00:02
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-03-14 23:59
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05%0.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 00:03
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-14 23:50
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-15 00:05