L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Orlando Magic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 61.44%1.63cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.21%61.46%61.48%63.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.42%64.10%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orlando Magic (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.56%2.59cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.396%
Kelly +0.640%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.56%38.54%38.52%40.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.482.482.6244.44%40.33%40.32%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-15 00:00
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007%4.4%2026-03-14 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.651%E +0.249%K +0.404%G +0.003%3.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 18:49
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.506%E -0.196%K -0.320%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-15 00:00
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:47
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 00:05
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:50
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:50
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:50
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.62%E -4.35%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-14 23:30
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:05
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 23:59
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.82%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:50
TAB1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 00:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 23:50
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:50
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 00:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:50
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:40
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 23:59
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:45
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.22%E -3.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.99%E -3.81%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 23:54
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:59
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 00:02
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-03-14 23:59
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05%0.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 00:03
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-14 23:50
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-15 00:05