A Escola das Odds

Miami Heat v Orlando Magic

Início: 2026-03-15 00:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Previsão 61.44%1.63odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.21%61.46%61.48%63.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.42%64.10%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Orlando Magic (Visitante)

Previsão 38.56%2.59odd justa
EV +1.04%
Vantagem +0.396%
Kelly +0.640%
Crescimento +0.007%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.56%38.54%38.52%40.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.482.482.6244.44%40.33%40.32%38.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-15 00:00
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +1.04%E +0.396%K +0.640%G +0.007%4.4%2026-03-14 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.651%E +0.249%K +0.404%G +0.003%3.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-14 23:50
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 23:50
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.265%E +0.102%K +0.166%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 18:49
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%EV -0.506%E -0.196%K -0.320%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-15 00:00
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:47
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 00:05
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:50
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:50
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 23:50
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.62%E -4.35%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:05
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 23:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.652%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-03-14 23:30
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:05
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -2.05%E -0.806%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 23:59
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -2.82%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:50
TAB1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 23:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 00:05
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.39%E -3.50%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 23:50
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:50
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:59
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.85%E -5.23%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.59%E -1.44%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 23:50
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 00:00
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.36%E -1.76%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -1.70%E -1.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 23:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 23:50
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.52%E -2.25%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:50
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.32%E -1.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:40
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:05
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -6.29%E -2.59%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 23:55
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -7.23%E -4.79%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.68%E -2.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 23:59
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.93%E -1.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 23:45
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.16%E -2.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.45%E -3.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.22%E -3.45%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 00:00
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -8.99%E -3.81%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 23:54
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.54%E -2.26%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 23:59
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.00%E -3.92%K -11.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.38%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -4.77%E -3.08%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -13.23%E -5.88%K -10.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 00:02
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-03-14 23:59
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05%0.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 00:03
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-14 23:50
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-15 00:05