The School of Odds
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Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons

2026-11-15 01:10 UTC — NBA

Head to Head

69 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Heat (Local)

Prediction 39.36%2.54fair odd
EV +2.34%
Edge +0.899%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.74%39.22%39.29%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.452.6045.45%40.93%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Pistons (Visit)

Prediction 60.64%1.65fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%60.78%60.71%63.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.561.571.6269.44%64.11%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Heat (Local): 39.36%; Detroit Pistons (Visit): 60.64%. For Miami Heat (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 12 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.60, producing a positive expected value of +2.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (69 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.83%E -5.15%K -15.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-15 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.43%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-15 00:45
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.43%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-15 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.34%E +0.899%K +1.46%G +0.034%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.43%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-15 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.370%E +0.145%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.83%E -5.15%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.370%E +0.145%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.43%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-15 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.370%E +0.145%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-15 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.370%E +0.145%K +0.239%G +0.001%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.65%E -6.47%K -19.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-15 00:20
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-15 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -1.20%E -0.480%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-15 00:30
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.60%E -0.639%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 22:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.60%E -0.639%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.62%E -4.30%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-15 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -1.99%E -0.800%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.76%E -1.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-11-15 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.39%E -0.962%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-15 00:39
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.39%E -0.962%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-14 18:25
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.39%E -0.962%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-15 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.78%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-15 00:40
SportsBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -2.78%E -1.13%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-14 23:35
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-15 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-14 18:15
FanDuel🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.17%E -1.29%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-14 23:35
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.37%E -1.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-14 19:45
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-15 00:19
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 18:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-15 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-15 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 22:55
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-15 00:25
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 23:10
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 18:04
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.22%E -4.72%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-15 00:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -3.57%E -1.46%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -12.68%E -8.81%K -28.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-15 00:20
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-15 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.35%E -1.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-15 00:25
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-15 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-14 19:04
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-14 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-14 18:14
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-15 00:45
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.19%E -2.65%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:20
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.53%E -2.31%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 23:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 21:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 22:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:59
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-15 00:05
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 21:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.32%E -2.66%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.80%E -3.06%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 18:20
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 23:30
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.71%E -2.83%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.40%E -3.46%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-14 23:29
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.50%E -3.19%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.50%E -3.19%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-15 00:45
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.50%E -3.19%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.98%E -1.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-15 00:45
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.50%E -3.19%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.58%E -2.25%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-15 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.50%E -3.19%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -8.43%E -5.59%K -16.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-15 00:18
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.68%E -3.74%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -9.04%E -6.03%K -18.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.47%E -4.12%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -9.65%E -6.47%K -19.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-14 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.44%E -5.08%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.83%E -5.15%K -15.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-15 00:20
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.41%E -6.09%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -6.01%E -3.88%K -10.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-15 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-11-15 00:35
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-11-15 00:40
BetOpenly◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-11-15 00:45
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-11-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-11-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-11-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-11-15 00:40
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-11-14 23:30
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-11-14 18:05
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-11-15 00:35

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