默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons

2026-11-15 01:10 UTC — NBA

胜负盘

69 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

39%

61%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Heat (主队)

预测 39.26%2.55公平赔率

EV +2.08%

优势 +0.800%

Kelly +1.30%

增长率 +0.027%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布

36.74%39.16%39.25%41.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.87%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Pistons (客队)

预测 60.74%1.65公平赔率

EV -1.60%

优势 -0.989%

Kelly -2.59%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布

58.67%60.84%60.75%63.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.441.561.571.6269.44%64.19%63.69%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Miami Heat (主队)：39.26%；Detroit Pistons (客队)：60.74%。对于“Miami Heat (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.55。有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.60，由此产生+2.08%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (69 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:45
BetRivers🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:45
betPARX🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:45
Bally Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
TABtouch🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-15 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:20
BetAnything🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-15 00:35
SportsBet🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-15 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-15 00:30
Everygame🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-15 00:53
theScore Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:54
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.46%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-15 00:20
Pinnacle🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -2.24%E -0.900%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.60%E -0.989%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-11-15 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-15 00:39
1xBet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-14 18:25
Coolbet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:55
Caesars🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-11-15 00:40
BetUS🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.42%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-15 00:35
DraftKings🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.42%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-14 18:15
GTbets🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 18:30
Bovada🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-15 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
TAB🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 23:10
Fanatics🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:50
BetMGM🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:55
Neds🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:50
PlayUp🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-15 00:50
Paddy Power🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 18:04
PMU (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -12.54%E -8.71%K -28.49%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-15 00:20
ReBet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:25
betano_uk🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:49
Bet Victor🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-14 18:14
picklebet_au🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:55
Coral🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-15 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 23:50
888sport🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 21:00
betfred_uk🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 22:55
William Hill🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 20:59
BoyleSports🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-15 00:05
Casumo🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 21:00
Sky Bet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 18:20
Betsson🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.95%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:55
NordicBet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.95%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:55
Bet Right🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:34
Fliff🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-15 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.91%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-11-14 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-14 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-11-15 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -12.45%E -5.58%K -10.12%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-11-15 00:48
LeoVegas🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.63%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-15 00:20

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%	0.3%	2026-11-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%	0.3%	2026-11-15 00:55
Novig◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	0.4%	2026-11-15 00:40
BetOpenly◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	0.6%	2026-11-15 00:55
Matchbook◎	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:55
ProphetX◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:55
Kalshi◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-11-14 23:30
Polymarket◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-11-14 18:05
Smarkets◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%	1.7%	2026-11-15 00:55

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